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Ecodrive Daily > Technology > The Second-Life EV Battery Market Could Be Worth Billions By 2035
Technology

The Second-Life EV Battery Market Could Be Worth Billions By 2035

January 31, 2025 10 Min Read
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10 Min Read
The Second-Life EV Battery Market Could Be Worth Billions By 2035
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  • 30%: Second-Life EV Battery Market Is Poised To Develop
  • 60%: Rivian’s $6.6 Billion Mortgage Appears Secure, For Now  
  • 90%: Nissan Is On A Chopping Block
  • 100%: How Has Your EV Battery Aged?

The electrical automobile trade has embraced consolidation and effectivity. We’re seeing automakers slash prices and broaden platform-sharing to reduce enter and maximize output. Now, there’s an opportunity for EVs to be much more environment friendly by embracing the rules of a round financial system. As a substitute of the wasteful take, make and dispose method, the trade can observe a scale back, reuse and recycle philosophy—and that’s extra vital for the lithium-ion battery than anything.

This kicks off our Friday version of Essential Supplies, your day by day round-up of key occasions and information shaping the world of electrical autos. 

Additionally on our radar at this time: Rivian’s $6.6 billion mortgage from the U.S. authorities is locked in. That deal was negotiated for over two years and President Trump can’t simply revoke it with an government order. Plus, Nissan is on the chopping block by way of prices, jobs and manufacturing. 

30%: Second-Life EV Battery Market Is Poised To Develop

Photograph by: IDTechEx

The high-voltage battery is the most expensive and probably the most crucial part in an EV. It packs chemical compounds that may be hazardous to the surroundings if not correctly disposed of on the finish of its lifespan. Fortunately, there’s an ongoing world effort to make sure that doesn’t occur sooner or later.

The second-life EV market could possibly be value $4.2 billion in a decade’s time, in accordance with U.Okay.-based analysis agency IDTechEx. When it proliferates, the necessity to extract extra uncooked supplies could possibly be lowered, paving the way in which for a round financial system that’s much less dangerous to nature.

Tens of millions of EVs with enormous, energy-dense batteries are coming into service yearly globally. Sooner or later sooner or later, these EVs can even must be retired. When that point comes, the doorways will open for these packs to be recycled or repurposed into second-life purposes resembling power storage.

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IDTechEX says a lot of that development potential will be attributed to the usage of nickel and cobalt within the cathode—the damaging electrode in a battery. These minerals facilitate power density and therefore enhance the economics of recycling a nickel-manganese-cobalt (NMC) battery. Lithium-iron-phosphate (LFP) batteries, then again, are much less economically viable for recycling because of the absence of cobalt and nickel.

However regardless, this complete trade is predicted to endure a silent revolution over the subsequent few years. InsideEVs additionally reported in November that the falling lithium costs would make battery alternative in EVs even cheaper than changing an engine on an ICE automobile.

Nonetheless, a number of bottlenecks would must be addressed earlier than the second-life EV market actually takes off.

Right here’s extra from that report: 

Many components contribute to the general value of second-life battery repurposing, together with logistics prices, supplies and parts, and the necessity for guide intervention within the repurposing course of, which incorporates guide inspection, testing or grading, and end-of-life (EOL) EV battery disassembly and reassembly.

Inside these key course of steps, IDTechEx has recognized a number of key bottlenecks that contribute considerably to general repurposing prices. These embrace the price of the retired EV battery and testing or grading. Logistics prices are additionally to not be underestimated. Since EOL batteries are usually shipped in low volumes and over lengthy distances within the present market, logistics can kind a big proportion of general repurposing value.

The battery recycling trade has already taken off within the U.S. Over the subsequent few years, America’s recycling capability is predicted to be roughly half 1,000,000 tons yearly. Repurposing EV batteries additionally has enormous unlocked potential. 

Nonetheless, the U.S. has a protracted method to go. It will probably perhaps even be taught from China and the EU, which require minimal recycled content material in a battery. Within the EU, for instance, EV batteries might want to have a sure share of recycled supplies by 2031—16% cobalt and 6% lithium and nickel every. If the EV trade within the U.S. desires to undertake the round financial system rules, it might additionally want comparable requirements sooner or later sooner or later.

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60%: Rivian’s $6.6 Billion Mortgage Appears Secure, For Now  

A render of Rivian’s upcoming plant in Georgia.

Simply days earlier than President Trump took workplace, the Biden administration finalized a colossal $6.6 billion mortgage for Rivian to finance the development of its Georgia plant. Now the query looms: Can Trump pull the U.S. authorities out of its settlement with the EV start-up?

InsideEVs requested Rivian CEO RJ Scaringe about that chance throughout a roundtable with reporters. He believes the mortgage is protected. “We signed a legally binding doc with the Division of Vitality,” Scaringe stated.

“{Our relationships} with Republican congressional members could be very sturdy,” Scaringe added. “The mortgage is for a plant in Georgia, which definitely leans to the suitable. There’s a whole lot of benefits we see in that as properly. However we do not take a look at the mortgage and assume it is at any vital danger.”

The Georgia manufacturing facility, positioned about an hour east of Atlanta, is central to Rivian’s enlargement plans within the U.S. The automaker plans to launch three new EVs beginning subsequent yr, together with the R2, adopted by the R3X after which the R3.

Whereas the R2 shall be initially manufactured at an expanded facility at its Regular, Illinois plant, the R3 and R3X will seemingly be made in Georgia. The plant can also be anticipated so as to add 7,500 manufacturing jobs and has garnered help from the state authorities. Pulling again wouldn’t solely harm Rivian but in addition the native counties anticipating a lift in financial exercise with the billions in federal funding.

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90%: Nissan Is On A Chopping Block

Issues would possibly worsen at Nissan earlier than they doubtlessly get higher.

Three of the Japanese automaker’s U.S. crops are getting ready to supply buyouts to staff and slicing shifts in a bid to save lots of $2.6 billion in world prices, Reuters reported on Thursday.

One of many two shifts on the Rogue manufacturing line in Smyrna, Tennessee, shall be minimize. That plant additionally makes the Leaf. The identical is predicted for the road that builds the Altima sedan in Canton, Mississippi.

It’s unclear what number of jobs precisely can be minimize within the U.S. Nikkei estimates that the workforce would cut back by about 1,500—about 11,700 staff had been employed at Nissan’s three U.S. factories as of the top of 2024.

Nissan does have an enormous merger take care of Honda that’s pending. However earlier than we see the fruits (and even primary particulars like how they plan to merge operations) of that, issues will seemingly be tough for Nissan.

100%: How Has Your EV Battery Aged?

Photograph by: CATL

The concern of EV batteries shedding vary over time and even going lifeless has hampered the broader adoption of EVs within the U.S. However the tech has come a good distance, and EV batteries don’t want replacements even after a whole lot of hundreds of miles. There’s a purpose why the warranties are so lengthy, stretching as much as eight years typically. Now, there’s a complete recycling ecosystem within the works to verify the batteries do not go to waste even on the finish of life.

In the event you drive an EV, what does the well being and degradation seem like in your battery? Do you are concerned about what’s going to occur to your battery over time? And have you considered recycling or repurposing it?

Have a tip? Contact the writer: suvrat.kothari@insideevs.com

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